Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.032701 0.038216 0.044294 0.051480 0.059731 0.068895 0.079835
2025-07-13 0.026090 0.033699 0.042866 0.054677 0.069435 0.087212 0.110185
2025-07-20 0.021168 0.029841 0.041129 0.056784 0.077797 0.104879 0.142246
2025-07-27 0.016586 0.025319 0.037506 0.055558 0.081372 0.116663 0.168199
2025-08-03 0.013471 0.022099 0.034919 0.055053 0.085492 0.129308 0.196511
2025-08-10 0.010842 0.019027 0.031919 0.053289 0.087283 0.138554 0.220741
2025-08-17 0.008909 0.016649 0.029516 0.051930 0.089279 0.148039 0.246041
2025-08-24 0.007617 0.015084 0.028128 0.051900 0.093204 0.160693 0.277307
2025-08-31 0.006372 0.013355 0.026154 0.050520 0.094591 0.169245 0.302632
2025-09-07 0.005828 0.012837 0.026237 0.052729 0.102332 0.188992 0.348317
2025-09-14 0.005104 0.011824 0.025226 0.052746 0.106082 0.202158 0.383841
2025-09-21 0.004351 0.010605 0.023617 0.051366 0.107010 0.210314 0.411136
2025-09-28 0.003763 0.009649 0.022425 0.050709 0.109365 0.221521 0.445504
2025-10-05 0.003545 0.009501 0.022911 0.053570 0.119005 0.247311 0.509473
2025-10-12 0.003274 0.009173 0.022955 0.055491 0.126944 0.270580 0.570753
2025-10-19 0.002822 0.008303 0.021633 0.054221 0.128035 0.280446 0.606747
2025-10-26 0.002480 0.007647 0.020702 0.053693 0.130631 0.293535 0.650276
2025-11-02 0.002121 0.006867 0.019341 0.051953 0.130304 0.300495 0.681822
2025-11-09 0.001834 0.006225 0.018218 0.050619 0.130713 0.308991 0.717234
2025-11-16 0.001642 0.005824 0.017653 0.050585 0.134140 0.324287 0.768379
2025-11-23 0.001423 0.005288 0.016635 0.049236 0.134229 0.332159 0.803978
2025-11-30 0.001355 0.005224 0.016924 0.051392 0.143202 0.360927 0.888328
2025-12-07 0.001222 0.004913 0.016452 0.051409 0.146772 0.377520 0.946477